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Journal Article

Commodities for the Long Run

This paper analyzes a novel data set of commodity futures prices between 1877-2015, allowing us to show that returns do vary significantly across business cycles but can add value to a diversified portfolio from an asset allocation perspective.

White Paper

Can Risk Parity Outperform If Yields Rise?

Risk parity investing is not, as some critics say, simply “leveraging bonds.” The evidence suggests that a risk parity portfolio may improve long-term risk-adjusted returns relative to traditional, equity-centric portfolios.

Journal Article

Demystifying Managed Futures

Commodity trading advisors (CTAs) managed approximately $320 billion as of the end of the first quarter of 2012, running “managed futures” funds that invest long or short in futures contracts on a variety of commodities, such as metals, grains, cotton and other physical goods, as well as futures and forwards on equity indices, Treasury bonds and currencies.

White Paper

Building a Better Commodities Portfolio (2012)

Rather than relying on passive indexes like the S&P GSCI and the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index, investors can potentially build a better commodities portfolio by balancing risk across sectors and targeting a steady level of volatility through time.

White Paper

Understanding Risk Parity

This paper describes a simple risk parity strategy and compares its performance to the typical 60/40 portfolio over nearly 40 years of historical data.